Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 1.743452 2.021400 2.309389 2.628571 2.970987 3.325981 3.720531
2024-12-22 1.288017 1.671731 2.092430 2.581525 3.128617 3.716516 4.391016
2024-12-29 1.078353 1.518449 2.020254 2.621977 3.312458 4.070087 4.954859
2025-01-05 0.898450 1.373932 1.937283 2.632462 3.448486 4.360045 5.440439
2025-01-12 0.735588 1.226137 1.830269 2.596529 3.514966 4.557462 5.809069
2025-01-19 0.674024 1.198062 1.861740 2.719659 3.762431 4.958485 6.406366
2025-01-26 0.625647 1.180328 1.900801 2.847702 4.012418 5.360075 7.002651
2025-02-02 0.590097 1.175178 1.952388 2.988539 4.275900 5.776325 7.615382
2025-02-09 0.567006 1.184238 2.020169 3.148023 4.560967 6.217528 8.257160
2025-02-16 0.522497 1.156863 2.036169 3.239255 4.760842 6.556789 8.779316
2025-02-23 0.461448 1.097828 2.004828 3.266138 4.878732 6.796502 9.183257
2025-03-02 0.379326 0.995845 1.907531 3.201853 4.879064 6.892149 9.414723
2025-03-09 0.297934 0.887512 1.799681 3.126334 4.871872 6.988569 9.660973
2025-03-16 0.236381 0.803096 1.719951 3.083936 4.903675 7.130643 9.960928
2025-03-23 0.202510 0.764062 1.703963 3.125412 5.040567 7.399329 10.410842
2025-03-30 0.167116 0.715215 1.669092 3.138041 5.138299 7.618681 10.800765
2025-04-06 0.127612 0.647915 1.599692 3.098041 5.164164 7.746658 11.078264
2025-04-13 0.121439 0.656740 1.653299 3.233919 5.422653 8.165579 11.710621
2025-04-20 0.116535 0.667793 1.710330 3.374787 5.688059 8.593656 12.354877
2025-04-27 0.114026 0.684485 1.776749 3.529495 5.972329 9.046009 13.029606
2025-05-04 0.114553 0.709111 1.856718 3.704318 6.283997 9.533471 13.748145
2025-05-11 0.104753 0.704136 1.885716 3.804173 6.495180 9.894522 14.312215
2025-05-18 0.087097 0.672884 1.867699 3.833575 6.610889 10.134599 14.727651